Thursday, August 17, 2006

A Telling Sign?

By now political junkies have thought long and hard, parsed every idea, examined every poll, scrutinized every race in order to try to get a sense of the trends for this fall's midterm elections. In politics, as with sports books in Vegas, it is sometimes wise to take a look where the guys who are paid to know these things are placing the odds. Right now the equivalent of bookies in DC seem to tilt toward the Democrats. Now this might just be hedging bets, but it seems that Republican pressure has really kept Democrats in the wilderness on K Street where the nation's biggest, most powerful lobbyists, in many ways the real power brokers, are clustered. This pressure was only viable when the GOP held firm control over government, which they have enjoyed for more than five years now, and for over a decade in Congress. I'm certainly not ready to make any predictions yet, but this is a trend in which I'd place a lot more faith than any polls.

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